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Wednesday, September 23, 2026

Tropical depression to enter PAR Thursday; may enhance habagat

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Satellite image captured at 6:10 a.m. on September 23, 2026.
Satellite image captured at 6:10 a.m. on September 23, 2026. Image from DOST / Pagasa

MANILA, Philippines — The tropical depression monitored outside the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) will enter the country by Thursday morning or afternoon and is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon, according to the state weather bureau on Wednesday. 

In the 5 a.m. weather forecast of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa), weather specialist Chenel Dominguez said the tropical depression was estimated to be 1,920 kilometers east of Southeastern Luzon as of 3 a.m. It was carrying maximum sustained winds of 55 kilometers per hour (kph) and gustiness of up to 70 kph.

READ: Trough of TD to bring rains in Visayas, Mindanao – Pagasa

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Dominguez said that the tropical depression will enter the PAR as a tropical storm category and will achieve its highest category as a typhoon while it is inside the country.

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“Ito ay palayo ng kalupaan kaya hindi natin inaasahan na magkakaroon ng landfall scenario sa malaking bahagi ng ating bansa. Inaasahan nating maaari itong humila ng habagat pero hindi inaasahan na makakaranas ng malawakang pag-ulan katulad noong mga nakaraang buwan,” Dominguez noted. 

(This is far from landmass that’s why we don’t expect it to have landfall scenario in huge parts of the country. This is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon or habagat but we don’t expect it to bring widespread rains like the past months.)

Wednesday weather

Dominguez said that the tropical depression’s trough will continue to affect the eastern section of Visayas and Mindanao. 

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“Dulot ng trough, inaasahan ang mataas na tyansa ng pag-ulan sa buong Eastern Visayas, Caraga, Misamis Oriental, Camiguin, Davao Oriental,” she added. 

(Expect heavy rainshowers over  Eastern Visayas, Caraga, Misamis Oriental, Camiguin, Davao Oriental due to trough.)

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READ: Few but potentially stronger tropical cyclones seen in last quarter of 2026

She then said that the rest of Visayas, Mindanao, and Palawan will see clear skies with chances of localized thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. 

Meanwhile, Luzon will experience fair weather conditions with hot and humid weather at noon and afternoon with chances of isolated rainshowers in the afternoon and evening due to localized thunderstorms. 

Temperature forecast in the following areas:

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  • Metro Manila: 25°C to 32°C
  • Laoag: 25°C to 33°C
  • Baguio: 17°C to 24°C
  • Tagaytay: 23°C to 31°C
  • Tuguegarao: 25°C to 34°C
  • Legazpi: 25°C to 32°C 
  • Kalayaan Islands: 26°C to 32°C
  • Puerto Princesa: 25°C to 32°C
  • Iloilo: 24°C to 32°C
  • Cebu: 25°C to 33°C
  • Tacloban: 26°C to 32°C
  • Cagayan de Oro: 25°C to 33°C
  • Davao: 24°C to 33°C
  • Zamboanga: 25°C to 34°C
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